What does the confidence percentage mean?

How sure Diorite is, and how to use that number in your plan.

Updated September 30, 2026

Every weather window and condition in a brief comes with a confidence level. When Diorite says 70 percent, it means that on days like this, it has been right about 70 percent of the time.

How to use it

  • Above 80%: plan normally, still keep a turnaround time
  • 60 to 80%: start earlier and choose a clear decision point
  • Below 60%: consider a simpler objective or a different day

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In a mountain emergency, call local rescue first: 911 or 112.